Tolleson, DL. “Coronavirus: Modeling, Politics and Cures.”
Facebook.com, April 5, 2020.
https://www.facebook.com/DL.tolleson/posts/10156828470596373.
Tolleson, DL. “Coronavirus: Modeling, Politics and Cures.”
DLTolleson.com, September 10, 2023.
http://www.DLTolleson.com/commentary/coronavirusmodeling.php.
Tolleson, DL. “Coronavirus: Modeling, Politics and Cures.”
TheLighthousePress.com, September 10, 2023.
http://www.thelighthousepress.com/dltolleson.com/commentary/coronavirusmodeling.php.
At the heart of the matter are motivations, personal behavior, morality, ethics, beliefs and ideologies—good and bad, constructive and destructive, civil and uncivil; in a word, principles. These things form the foundation of every individual.
A person arrives at a set of principles through any number of means, some of which he or she may not be aware. Historically the presence (or absence) of the nuclear family informed a person’s principles, which were then later reinforced or altered via experiences. But within the last thirty years or so, three concurrent contributors to the formation of principles are public school education, the saturation of entertainment and what passes for print, broadcast and electronic media—all in substitution of the nuclear family’s influence.
The breakdown of the nuclear family is a massive topic of its own; Single family homes, fatherless children, the prioritization of materialism and self-gratification in lieu of parenting... These and so many other factors speak for themselves. But to what it all equates is public education, entertainment and media programing the minds of the young—which ultimately culminates in “programmed” adults.
Insofar as entertainment and electronic media are concerned, the addiction of constantly checking e-mail, text and social media via a computer or smart phone provides a momentary pleasurable feeling due to the brain’s release of an organic chemical called dopamine. This is well-established and documented biology. What is not so readily apparent is how this contributes to and cements principles.
What is subliminally, or subconsciously, important is the content satiating the addictive behavior. This is the reason vast numbers of people echo the same “talking points” on all manner of topics.
Understanding these things is the first step in realizing why people will accept, and regurgitate, a narrative with which they have only anecdotal knowledge—and will do so in spite of evidence, facts or reasoning to the contrary.
And there is no topic more illustrative of all of this than Coronavirus (COVID-19).
From the beginning of the alleged COVID pandemic up until the very hour of this writing, there are people who have (and will) blindly accept lock-downs, shut downs, dangerous mRNA vaccines, ineffective mask mandates and more. Many of these same people—programed as described above—will become belligerent at even the mention of evidence contradicting the narrative. If you doubt this, then consider the following information that came to light by April of 2020...
• The alleged coronavirus plague ship, Diamond Princess, had experienced 634 confirmed COVID infections and six deaths within an onboard population of 3,711 passengers and crew. Percentage-wise, it was death rate of a mere 0.5% (that’s well below one percent).
• There were 14,825 coronavirus recoveries out of 311,635 confirmed infections and 8,454 deaths in the United States, while by February of 2020 we had already experienced 180,000 influenza hospitalizations and 10,000 influenza deaths. Nobody called for influenza shut downs, influenza mask mandates or massive influenza vaccine enforcement.
• From February through August of 2020, COVID-19 deaths of healthy people without secondary medical conditions numbered only 9,210—everyone else reportedly dying from COVID had secondary health issues. Healthy people were VERY safe.
• Chicago’s Roseland Community Hospital reported testing between 400 and 600 patients per day and finding 30% to 50% of those tested having antibodies while only around 10% to 20% had the active virus: In other words 200 to 300 people per day were confirmed to have contracted and recovered from COVID without ever knowing they had even been sick.
• A study of 1,000 people in the Heinsberg District of Bonn, Germany found that 15% of the population had contracted the virus, many unknowingly and without symptoms. Of those, only 0.37% died from COVID-19—that is even less that half-of-one percent.
• CBS News was caught using film clips from Italy while describing New York City Conditions (because Italy had been hit harder than New York).
Five of the above six items were known in April of 2020. But even before this it was clear that there was really no way in which to be certain how many people had actually died of COVID-19 exclusively. The evidence for this assertion comes directly from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) and was on the website of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on March 24, 2020. In relevant part, the directive instructed, “COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death.”1
If that isn’t sufficiently alarming, the aforementioned directive was clarified on April 19, 2020, during an Illinois Daily Press Briefing in which Ngozi O. Ezike, M.D., Director of the Illinois Department of Public Health, indicated: “I just want to be clear in terms of the definition of people dying of COVID. So, the case definition is very simplistic. It means that at the time of death it was a COVID-positive diagnosis. So that means if you were in hospice and had already been given, you know, a few weeks to live and then you were also found to have COVID, that would be counted as a COVID death. It means that if, technically, even if you died of a clear alternative cause but you had COVID at the same time it’s still listed as a COVID death. So everyone that’s listed as a COVID death doesn’t mean that that was the cause of the death, but they had COVID at the time of death.”2
Some say the total number of infections are unknown and therefore the survival rate is lower than evidence shows. What these individuals and sources will not admit is that while the total number of infections may indeed be unknown, the total number of deaths directly attributed to COVID were unconscionably, dramatically and excessively inflated.
In order to determine the worse case scenario for COVID, I always to go back to the Diamond Princess. The ship was quarantined after a patent tested positive for Coronavirus, thus making the vessel an “enclosed environment” in which 3,711 people shared the same ventilation system, ate food from the same kitchen and interacted with food preparers and crewmen who would have either had the virus without knowing it or have been in contact with others in the same circumstance. For about a month there was no escape from that ship. As I noted above, and in the article below, even then the death rate was only 0.5%.
So, think back over those above six bullet points, the March 2020 CDC directive and the April 2020 Illinois Department of Public Health clarification. Clearly, the evidence we do have demonstrates the COVID alleged pandemic was a situation made to appear horrendously more severe than the reality proven by evidence. Believing, thinking, and asserting otherwise are the individuals with programmed principles as described at the outset of this introductory commentary.
And those are people who fall into the same category as the social media platform Facebook, for which the evidence was just too much to let stand. On September 3, 2023 Facebook scrubbed the following article from my Facebook account. The initial reason provided, at the very moment of removing the article, was related to cyber coding and Identity security.
Of course there wasn’t a legitimate reason. The explanation to which the link pointed subsequently changed to their nebulous, “violation of community standards.”
But the truth of the matter is that the facts I cite is the reason the article was removed. You may freely express your speech on Facebook only so long as you are NOT discussing or quoting facts contrary to the systemic narrative, aka Facebook’s political agenda. And believe me, on Facebook everything—history, facts, even your health—is subject to censorship.3
1A Moral Conscientious Objection
http://www.DLTolleson.com/commentary/moralobjection.php
2Ibid
3Texas Doctor Announces Better Covid-19 Protocol and Cure
Remember when over half of the United States froze-over in the early 1970s? You say you don’t recall that? What about when the coastal states were flooded under the onslaught of melting polar ice caps? Don’t remember that either? Well, surely you remember the increased and ongoing hurricane devastation that began obliterating the Eastern seaboard of the United States starting in 2005?
Of course you don’t remember any of that because none of those things happened. But ALL of it was forecasted to happen—along with a lot more devastation over the last 50 years.1 These things didn’t happen for the same reason that our most recent global cataclysm of the Coronavirus pandemic won’t become a real-life episode of The Walking Dead.
That’s right, just like climate change has failed to kill us as repeatedly prophesied, the predictions of Coronavirus will fail as the next doomsday for the same reason.
That reason is “modeling.”
So what is modeling? Put simply, eggheads with a lot of letters behind their names create a computer simulation of what will happen based upon data that they put into the simulation. Yeah, really, that’s about it. So, for example, if an egghead takes the 14,681 Coronavirus deaths of Italy (equating to 200 people out of every million) and assumes the same factors word-wide—and also assumes all other things remain constant—then MILLIONS of people will die. But we know that it isn’t true because as of today the United States is seeing 21 deaths out of every million people.
So what is wrong with the Coronavirus models?
For that answer we can cite the problem with climate change models: “Scientists have known for some time that their predictive models of global warming were at increasing odds with the data. More recently, they have begun to pinpoint some of the faulty assumptions in the models used to make projections (not observations—DLT) of global warming.”2
In other words, the predictive models of Coronavirus are at increasing odds with the data because, like Climate Change, there are faulty assumptions in the models used to make projections (not observations) of Coronavirus. And since we don’t know the assumptions of the egghead (or eggheads) who gave us Coronavirus death numbers into the millions, we can at least prove that in the USA the numbers thus far show that Coronavirus is not the statistical Apocalypse that the media portrays.
Yes, people are dying of Coronavirus. But when it comes to viruses, Coronavirus has thus far proved to be a second rate amateur in terms killing. And while some of you may accuse me of being a heartless child born to parents out of wedlock (and you do so in more vernacular terms), I cannot be accused of skewing the numbers.
As of this date (April 4, 2020) the United States has racked-up 8,454 Coronavirus deaths (and 14,825 recoveries out of a total of 311,635 cases) which pales in comparison to this year’s 10,000 deaths and 180,000 hospitalizations for influenza. And just to clear, those 10,000 influenza-related deaths and 180,000 hospitalizations were the numbers in February—that’s TWO MONTHS AGO.3
Did you get that? Allow me to repeat and clarify: Two months ago the “ordinary” flu had ALREADY killed 3,000 MORE U.S. citizens than Coronavirus has killed in total right up to this very day. If you bother to read the story at my footnote documenting these numbers, you will see one attempt at “sleight of hand.” The story indicates, “It has killed roughly 2% of the people who have contracted it so far, according to world health officials.”44
Why is that an attempted “sleight of hand” in writing? Because 2% dead of the infected is not a ratio that describes the mortality rate. Or to put it another way: “At present, it is tempting to estimate the case fatality rate by dividing the number of known deaths by the number of confirmed cases. The resulting number, however, does not represent the true case fatality rate and might be off by orders of magnitude… A precise estimate of the case fatality rate is therefore impossible at present.”5
As others have done we could come up with our own modeling based upon infections and deaths aboard what could be described as the microcosm of the Diamond Princess. This was the cruise ship in which a passenger tested positive for Coronavirus, resulting in a quarantine of the vessel while off the coast of Japan. This provided a severe concentration of factors in which nearly everyone aboard ship was tested and few cases of infection were missed. 3, 711 people shared the same ventilation system, ate food from the same kitchen and interacted with food preparers and crewmen who would have either had the virus without knowing it or have been in contact with others in the same circumstance. Out of 3,711 passengers and crew of this “closed environment” there were 634 confirmed infections and six deaths. That equated to a death rate of 0.5%.6
That’s a tad higher than influenza deaths, but on a national level would come nowhere near the dire numbers of dead originally anticipated by Coronavirus models and bandied about in the media. I would argue that due to the confined conditions involving the Diamond Princess, the ship presented a far worse environment than the real world. However, this can also be illustrative of how eggheads make mistakes by turning assumptions into the wrong numbers in computer models.
In addition to the modeling problem there are also a host of political components with which—if government were ruled by angles—we would not have to content. But we elect mortals, putting them in charge of state, county and city governments, a few of which were becoming insolvent before this “crisis” became a money train. In particularly New York City, which between 2003 and 2014 had fifteen hospitals shut down.7 We could argue economics and reasons all day long, but the fact is they now claim to need more of what they had (hospitals) a few short years ago.
Don’t make the mistake of divorcing politics from economics and thus thinking the two do not have an interdependent bearing on what is now alleged to be happening in New York City. As I reported in February of 2019, New York state income tax revenues dropped by $2.3 billion from the previous month when Governor Andrew M. Cuomo’s implemented his budget plan.8
As I wrote then, “He went on to explain that when the burden of taxation is put upon the backs of a finitely small percentage of the population (that being top wage earners), then that system of taxation is prone to failure due to the mobility of those top wage earners. In short, they can just leave (which is the beauty of Federalism, by the way). He also contrasted New York with states such as Florida, which does NOT have state income taxes.”9 If you don’t think that has a severe impact on how a city can handle the increased load of a medical emergency, then you’ve been too long at the Kool-Aid bar.
But the political component is more insidious than the simple examples of New York’s hospital closures and financial woes. An apocalyptic political opportunity exists only if Coronavirus isn’t cured quickly or demonstrates large U.S. death numbers (“large” in comparison to hospitalizations, recoveries and the competing influenza statistics). So what does it mean if accidental deaths are counted as pandemic-related deaths simply because the decedents had tested positive for Coronavirus? Wouldn’t that push up the mortality rate? No, I’m not making that up—it is actually happening.”10 You can decide the ramifications for yourself.
The media doesn’t get a free political addenda pass, either. For example, there is the CBS story depicting a New York hospital by using footage from an overworked hospital in Italy.11 I’m sure it was an innocent mistake… Yeah, right, uh-huh.
I will end with reminders about Coronavirus cures. If this virus is slightly worse than influenza, then apparently the “nonpolitical” medical experts have been hard at work creating antidotes and preventions. Even while those at the national level are reluctant to suggest these medications, you can find online an increasing number of doctors endorsing and prescribing these treatments…
• Hydroxychloroquine12
• Chloroquine (anti-malarial drug) combined with lopinavir/ritonavir (HIV-suppressant)13
• Vitamin C14
More recently (as of April 2) Doctors and researchers at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC) in Pittsburgh have created a vaccine to protect against Coronavirus. The vaccine reportedly prompted the development of COVID-19 fighting antibodies in mice about two weeks after receiving an injection.
The vaccine is based upon previous UPMC work that sought to create vaccines against SARS and MERS, which they said are similar to the new Coronavirus. They are seeking federal permission to begin testing the Coronavirus vaccine for safety.15
1 FIFTY YEARS OF APOCALYPTIC GLOBAL WARMING PREDICTIONS AND WHY PEOPLE BELIEVE THEM, PART 1
2 FIFTY YEARS OF APOCALYPTIC GLOBAL WARMING PREDICTIONS AND WHY PEOPLE BELIEVE THEM, PART 2
3 THE FLU HAS ALREADY KILLED 10,000 ACROSS U.S. AS WORLD FRETS OVER CORONAVIRUS
4 IBID
5 HOW TO CALCULATE THE MORTALITY RATE DURING AN OUTBREAK
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
CITING SWISS MEDICAL WEEKLY
https://smw.ch/article/doi/smw.2020.20203
6 CRUISE SHIP OUTBREAK HELPS PIN DOWN HOW DEADLY CORONAVIRUS IS
https://www.sciencenews.org/article/coronavirus-outbreak-diamond-princess-cruise-ship-death-rate
7 THE INDYPENDENT.ORG
https://indypendent.org/2014/04/nycs-vanishing-hospitals/
8 NY GOVERNOR UNWITTINGLY SWERVES INTO THE TRUTH OF SOCIALISM
https://www.facebook.com/DL.Tolleson/posts/10155847899291373
9 IBID
10 REAL CANDACE OWENS ON FACEBOOK
https://www.facebook.com/realCandaceOwens/photos/a.1599506136787248/3618024191602089/
ALSO SEE REAL CANDACE OWENS ON FACEBOOK
https://www.facebook.com/realCandaceOwens/posts/3615704415167400
ALSO SEE TINA CARLSON-CLEMENTS VIA REAL CANDACE OWENS ON FACEBOOK
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=3657093171029552&set=p.3657093171029552
ALSO SEE REAL CANDACE OWENS ON FACEBOOK
ALSO SEE REAL CANDACE OWENS ON FACEBOOK
https://www.facebook.com/realCandaceOwens/photos/a.1599506136787248/3619217084816133/
ALSO SEE [RETRACTED] CDC TELLS HOSPITALS TO LIST COVID AS CAUSE OF DEATH EVEN IF YOU’RE JUST ASSUMING OR IT ONLY CONTRIBUTED
11 CBS NEWS USING FOOTAGE FROM AN ITALIAN HOSPITAL TO DESCRIBED NEW YORK CITY CONDITIONS
12 MALARIA ANTIDOTE CURES CORONAVIRUS
https://www.facebook.com/DL.Tolleson/posts/10156792319331373
CITING LA CORONAVIRUS PATIENT SAYS MALAIRA DRUG SAVED HIS LIFE
CITING CORONAVIRUS ANTIDOTE A PART OF 100% CURE RATE IN CLINIAL TRIAL TO BE ADMINSTERED BY NEW YORK
https://www.facebook.com/DL.Tolleson/posts/10156788695826373
CITING REPORTED CURES FOR CORONAVIRUS
https://www.facebook.com/DL.Tolleson/posts/10156782787851373
13 CORONAVIRUS AUSTRALIA: QUEENSLAND RESEAERCHERS FIND ‘CURE’ WANT DRUG TRIAL
14 CURING INFECTIOUS DISEASES WITH VITAMIN C
https://www.facebook.com/DL.Tolleson/posts/10156767916836373
15 UPMC DOCTORS IN PA SAY THEY’VE DEVELOPED A CORONAVIRUS VACCINE
https://www.pennlive.com/news/2020/04/upmc-doctors-say-theyve-developed-coronavirus-vaccine.htm
